2013 British Open Picks

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Back up the armored truck, get out your Muirfield money bags; here come your winning 2013 British Open picks!

It’s a good thing the official odds don’t reflect a player’s actual chance of winning and just the public’s appetite for spending, because the public is looking like a drunken sailor bidding up Tiger Woods as the favorite at 8/1.  He’s coming off an injury and his putting stroke has deserted him again.  Those waiting for the next big win to get back on the Jack Nicklaus record chase can keep waiting.Tiger

Did Phil “The Thrill” give us a great ride at the U.S. Open or what?  The difficult aspect of a Mickelson pick is the consistency component.  It’s simply not there, but what you get with Phil is good theater.  I’ve never liked him in the British Open, and except for his final round charge at Royal St. George’s in 2011, he’s been a major underachiever.  This week the roller coaster is heading downhill so keep your billfold in your pocket and Lefty off your board at 25/1.

U.S. Open champion, Justin Rose is suffering from burnout.  Even though I loved the way he finally conquered the unreasonably high expectations he’s dealt with since his miracle British Open finish in 1998, he’s a poor play at 18/1.  At Merion, he didn’t get too excited as he made clutch shot after clutch shot and stuck to his tunnel vision game plan, but the withdraw from the AT&T is a red flag.  I’m hoping he can relax and just play golf but it’s asking too much.

I see much of the same positive mental approach in Mr. Overdue, Jason Day.  The Aussie peaks his game for the majors, a bit like Angel Cabrera, but with more talent and less  results.  One of these days Day is going to break through and I like him here at 33/1.Day

Rory McIlroy can’t handle the pressure of a home game for some reason and lately, he can’t handle any pressure.  He was in poor form at the Irish Open and missed the cut, and his club destroying tantrum in the U.S. Open was an embarrassment.  Let’s face it, the lad doesn’t handle adversity very well.  Got to keep your cool out there and I’m very cool on him this week.

ElsMy favorite play here is a Sunday three-ball bet on Ernie Els, especially if he’s in a group with other big name players.  You will get a good price as people continue to underestimate him because of his age.  He’s in good form after winning the BMW International Open and is simply made for the pressure on the final day of this tournament.  He won it last year, and did as well in 2002 at the same venue, and is a superb pick at 25/1 to win straight up.

Dark horse play:  Padraig Harrington.  40/1 is a good price for Paddy and a top-10 finish is in the offering.  He hasn’t done much as of late, but finished 5th in the 2002 British Open at Muirfield and is a good horses for courses play.

Your 2013 British Open picks:

Champion Golfer of The Year:  Ernie Els in a repeat

Runner UpJason Day starting to look like Mickelson with the runner up finishes.

ThirdAdam Scott gets back on track but not all the way.

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About Brian Penn

Avid sports fan and golf nut. I am a lifelong resident of the Washington D.C. area and love to follow the local teams. Also worked as a golf professional in the Middle Atlantic PGA for several years and am intrigued by the game to no end. I love to play and practice and am dedicated to continual improvement.
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10 Responses to 2013 British Open Picks

  1. Brian Penn says:

    Think so? GMAC pick burned me at the U.S. Open. He certainly rebounded with a win last week. We’ll see.

  2. I’m giving some strong consideration to Billy Horschel for this one. The guys played great in the US Open and hits a ton of fairways and greens.

  3. Harvey says:

    I’m betting on Billy H too. I think the cooler climate in the UK will help him – IF the current heatwave stops.

  4. Would be nice to see Luke Donald step up, I am sure seeing Justin win will give Luke some extra determination

    • Brian Penn says:

      Yes, Donald is flying a bit under the radar now that he’s out of the world #1 conversation. Certainly is overdue for a big win. Will be interesting to see if the benign conditions predicted for the week bring other players into the mix that wouldn’t normally contend. Thanks!

  5. quinersdiner says:

    Outstanding summary. This Jason Day seems to be in the hunt in practically ever major in recent years. I like his chances. Have to admit that I discount Els because of the age issue, and yet look at him last year. I’m an Iowa guy and would love to see Zach Johnson play a little better at the Open. How do you think his game is suited for this year’s Open?

  6. Brian Penn says:

    Tom, Zach Johnson’s strengths are keeping the ball in play off the tee and putting. Unfortunately this season he’s having an off-year with the flat stick and has only two top-10 finishes. I also don’t like when players play the PGA Tour event in the US the week before the British Open and then try to fly to the UK and quickly acclimate to the time change and surroundings. That being said, Zach has finished 2nd in the John Deere this week and won it last year and played effectively in the British the following week in both years. I think a top-20 finish is a reasonable expectation at Muirfield. Thanks!

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